Last year, I wrote about
Frank Haith's successful first season, albeit with a disappointing finish and wondering if 2011-12 was going to be as good as it got for Haith. He had a tight knit senior laden club with the talent to make it to the Final Four and would lose all but two of players from that team.
But with the news that former UConn Center Alex Oriakhi was coming to Mizzou, joining a super backcourt of Phil Pressey and Michael Dixon and fifth year senior Lawrence Bowers back after an injury, things started looking up. We were getting three impact transfers, in addition to Oriakhi, and going to the SEC, where the basketball waters aren't as tough and aside from Florida and Kentucky, the conference was even weaker than normal. Missouri did end up having a great season, with really only a couple of bad losses, at Florida and to Louisville(the likely national champion as I write this before the Final Four) in the Bahamas. Realistically Missouri should have could have won every other game they lost in the regular season. This team was good but...
They could have been so much more. The first couple of months the team looked like a contender, playing the way the prognosticators across the country thought they could be. And that was without Michael Dixon, who was was suspended for undisclosed reasons, as well as Jabari Brown, a former five star wing player who transferred from Oregon, who was eligible in the second semester. It looked like they had the mentality of a winner and knew they could be so much more when they got Dixon, but...
We all know what happened, when Dixon was booted off the team and the university for multiple sexual assaults, which he seemed to have had to remorse about. And after that the team started to lose its mojo as the season went on. They still won some big games, didn't lose at home, but at the same time couldn't pull out wins on the road they should have. And they were never fully able to show the confidence needed to make a decent run in the NCAA tourney. Where the ghost of Michael Dixon hurt the team on the court was a lack of a backup point guard to spell Pressey. Negus Webster-Chan a 6'7 swingman was used early in the season in the role and Keion Bell a 6'3 shooting guard, settled in the role, but never looked comfortable. And Pressey wound up playing 35 plus minutes a night. Dixon would have been able to spell Pressey for breaks, having the size to run the offense and help defensively on smaller guards. In the most ironicof ironies, the 2013 team was too big, where the 2012 team was Mini-Mizzou with not enough tall and big bodies.
And most importantly, Dixon would have been the choice for late game shots instead of Pressey. Pressey's mistakes late in the game, cost the team four or five chances at wins. Was it too much pressure of trying to do to much to carry the team?
And how much of it was Coach Haith, not trying to do something different? After three or four times, you figure they would try to do something different or put it in someone elses hands. Personally, I think a lot falls on Haith, who's a better recruiter than a coach. He lost his offensive scheme guru Ernie Nestor and the team this year seemed to show Nestor's role was huge last season. I don't this years teams was able to run things from half court sets, hence problems at the end of games and the Haith's Stall Ball Offensive that let teams creep back. I always said Pressey is most effective going to coast-to-coast being able to change speeds. Run your regular offense at the end of games, even if it only takes ten seconds off the clock and take your chances on defense.
It goes back to my questions from last year, where does Haith go from here? Can he continue to build on these successes? Does Phil Pressey come back?
Looking into my crystal ball, I think Pressey comes back for his senior season, but if he doesn't I think the team is in decent shape guard wise. Pressey, Brown and Earnest Ross should fill out the perimeter spots with experience.
And if Pressey doesn't come back, it could be a good thing. It would force other players into action and larger roles, and might get a better team cohesion of not having a go-to-guy or a star.
The biggest problem area will be the front court and points scored in the paint. Tony Criswell is the only player returning from the rotation, with Sophomores to be, Ryan Rosburg and Stefan Jankovic, whose potential is very intriguing, likely fighting for spot in the rotation if not starting.
And newcomers likely will play some big roles. Tulsa transfer Jordan Clarkson, is a big guard who can handle the ball, will likely find a spot as well. Top 100 freshmen, Wes Clark, a 6'0 point guard and Johnathan Williams, an athletic 6'8 forward give Haith, more options and talent to develop, in addition to Junior College transfer Keanau Post, a 6'11 center with potential as well.
I like a rotation of Pressey-Brown-Ross-Criswell-Rosburg starting, with Clark-Clarkson-Williams off the bench. The front court will be up in the air, depending on who can do what, primarily be an offensive threat. That's why I think Williams has a shot to start if he can do that. Heck he could play small forward and Ross, with his bulk act as power forward, providing mismatches for other teams. But I'm not sure how much Haith trusts Freshmen though. Short handed last year, especially in the height department Kadeem Green couldn't even get minutes in big games and this season save for Rosburg, minutes for Freshman were again hard to come by, barring injuries, after conference play started up...
Ultimately it comes down to the coaching ability of Haith or his assistants. I've got a lot of questions and doubts on that ability from what I've seen. There's no doubt the man can recruit. Look at what the kids who recruited to Miami did this year. Heck, he's landed some good talent for 2014, not to mention the transfers he's brought in.
It will come down to winning and losing after a point. The more talent you have the more is expected. Getting into the tournament is a no-brainer, but early exit and after early exit won't be tolerated year after year. Ask Tubby Smith and Ben Howland. I just wonder how much the ghost of Mike Dixon will haunt Haith and Missouri basketball...
